Machine Learning-Driven Crime Risk Modelling and Prediction
Machine Learning-Driven Crime Risk Modelling and Prediction
Mwita Isaac Makene,Stanley Leonard Tito
TLDR
A predictive model is developed by leveraging publicly available historical crime data and relevant socio-demographic variables to identify crimes in the area with high rates, demonstrating the efficacy of the approach in forecasting crime hotspots and providing actionable insights for law enforcement agencies and policymakers.
Abstract
Effective law enforcement and public safety strategies are essential for accurate crime analysis, and forecasting. This situation is a global challenge,especially in the region where diverse socioeconomic factors can influence complex crime patterns. This study presents a novel machine learning-basedapproach to address this critical issue. By leveraging publicly available historical crime data and relevant socio-demographic variables, we develop a predictive model to identifycrimesin the area with high rates. The methodology involves data preprocessing, feature selection, model training, and validation using advanced machine learning techniques. Our proposed method attainsa prediction accuracy of 0.52 over other competitive methods. Theseempirical resultsdemonstrate the efficacy of the approach in forecasting crime hotspots, providing actionable insights for law enforcement agencies and policymakers. This research contributes to enhancingproactive measures for crime prevention and resource allocation in regions with diverse social economic factors.
