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Covariance-Based Structural Equation Modeling in Small-Sample Settings with p>np>n

Hiroki Hasegawa,Aoba Tamura,Yukihiko Okada

2026 · ArXiv: 2604.16894
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Abstract

Factor-based Structural Equation Modeling (SEM) relies on likelihood-based estimation assuming a nonsingular sample covariance matrix, which breaks down in small-sample settings with p>np>n. To address this, we propose a novel estimation principle that reformulates the covariance structure into self-covariance and cross-covariance components. The resulting framework defines a likelihood-based feasible set combined with a relative error constraint, enabling stable estimation in small-sample settings where p>np>n for sign and direction. Experiments on synthetic and real-world data show improved stability, particularly in recovering the sign and direction of structural parameters. These results extend covariance-based SEM to small-sample settings and provide practically useful directional information for decision-making.