Automatic Multi-steps Prediction Modelling for Wind Power Forecasting
Automatic Multi-steps Prediction Modelling for Wind Power Forecasting
Shuwen Zheng,Jie Liu
Abstract
Wind power is an important source of renewable energy. Owing to the randomness of wind speed, wind power forecasting has always been a challenging issue and is of paramount significance to the operation safety of power systems. In this paper, we proposed a hybrid method for multi-steps wind power forecasting, which combines the Complete Ensemble Empirical Mode Decomposition with Adaptive Noise (CEEMDAN) and Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) neural network with modified Genetic Algorithm optimization. The unknown parameters of LSTM and component aggregation weights in result reconstruction are optimized to improve the forecasting performance. A case study concerning the real wind power datasets from ELIA is carried out to validate the effectiveness of the proposed method.
