An AI Digital Platform for Fault Diagnosis and RUL Estimation in Drivetrain Systems Under Varying Operating Conditions

Drivetrain systems operate under varying operating conditions (OCs), which often obscure early-stage fault signatures and hinder robust condition monitoring (CM). This work introduces an AI digital platform developed during the EEDRIVEN project, featuring a holistic CM framework that integrates statistical time series methods—using Generalized AutoRegressive (GAR) models in a multiple model fault diagnosis scheme—with deep learning approaches, including autoencoders and convolutional neural networks, enhanced through a dedicated decision fusion methodology. The platform addresses all key CM tasks, including fault detection, fault type identification, fault severity characterization, and remaining useful life (RUL) estimation, which is performed using a dynamics-informed health indicator derived from GAR parameters and a simple linear Wiener process model. Training for the platform relies on a limited set of experimental vibration signals from the physical drivetrain, augmented with high-fidelity multibody dynamics simulations and surrogate-model realizations to ensure coverage of the full space of OCs and fault scenarios. Its performance is validated on hundreds of inspection experiments using confusion matrices, ROC curves, and metric-based plots, while the decision fusion scheme significantly strengthens diagnostic reliability across the CM stages. The results demonstrate near-perfect fault detection (99.8%), 97.8% accuracy in fault type identification, and over 96% in severity characterization. Moreover, the method yields reliable early-stage RUL estimates for the outer gear of the drivetrain, with normalized errors < 20% and consistently narrow confidence bounds, which confirms the platform’s robustness and practicality for real-world drivetrain systems monitoring.