Real-time tentative assessment of the epidemiological characteristics of novel coronavirus infections in Wuhan, China, as at 22 January 2020
Real-time tentative assessment of the epidemiological characteristics of novel coronavirus infections in Wuhan, China, as at 22 January 2020
Peng Wu,Xinxin Hao,5 Authors,G. Leung
TLDR
A novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV) causing severe acute respiratory disease emerged recently in Wuhan, China and a risk of fatality among hospitalised cases is estimated at 14% (95% confidence interval: 3.9–32%).
Abstract
A novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV) causing severe acute respiratory disease emerged recently in Wuhan, China. Information on reported cases strongly indicates human-to-human spread, and the most recent information is increasingly indicative of sustained human-to-human transmission. While the overall severity profile among cases may change as more mild cases are identified, we estimate a risk of fatality among hospitalised cases at 14% (95% confidence interval: 3.9–32%).