Only strict quarantine measures can curb the coronavirus disease (COVID-19) outbreak in Italy, 2020
Only strict quarantine measures can curb the coronavirus disease (COVID-19) outbreak in Italy, 2020
Henrik Sjödin,A. Wilder-Smith,2 Authors,J. Rocklöv
TLDR
It is shown that very high adherence to community quarantine and a small household size is necessary for curbing the outbreak in a locked-down town and the larger the household size and amount of time in the public, the longer the lockdown period needed.
Abstract
Several Italian towns are under lockdown to contain the COVID-19 outbreak. The level of transmission reduction required for physical distancing interventions to mitigate the epidemic is a crucial question. We show that very high adherence to community quarantine (total stay-home policy) and a small household size is necessary for curbing the outbreak in a locked-down town. The larger the household size and amount of time in the public, the longer the lockdown period needed.