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Non-Performing Loan Determinants and Impact of COVID-19: Case of Bosnia and Herzegovina

Amila Žunić,Kemal Kozaric,Emina Žunić Dželihodžić

2021 · DOI: 10.2478/jcbtp-2021-0021
Journal of Central Banking Theory and Practice · 41 Citations

TLDR

It has been proven that the variable COVID-19 has a delayed effect on NPLs, due to the current application of the moratorium on loans.

Abstract

Abstract The aim of this paper is to investigate the determinants of the movement of non-performing loans in the banking sector of Bosnia and Herzegovina, as well as the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on them. For this purpose, secondary data from the banking sector of BiH were used, over which a multi-regression analysis was performed. The variables non-performing loans, GDP, loan loss provision, and dummy variable COVID-19 were used in the analysis. The results of the analysis showed a significant influence of all three mentioned variables. The existence of a significant positive link between non-performing loans and the state of the country's economy has been proven. In addition to the above, it has been proven that the variable COVID-19 has a delayed effect on NPLs, due to the current application of the moratorium on loans.