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A New ∼5σ Tension at Characteristic Redshift from DESI-DR1 BAO and DES-SN5YR Observations

Purba Mukherjee,A. A. Sen

2025 · DOI: 10.48550/arXiv.2503.02880
arXiv.org · 3 Citations

Abstract

We perform a model-independent reconstruction of the angular diameter distance (DAD_{A}) using the Multi-Task Gaussian Process (MTGP) framework with DESI-DR1 BAO and DES-SN5YR datasets. We calibrate the comoving sound horizon at the baryon drag epoch rdr_d to the Planck best-fit value, ensuring consistency with early-universe physics. With the reconstructed DAD_A at two key redshifts, z1.63z\sim 1.63 (where DA=0D_{A}^{\prime} =0) and at z0.512z\sim 0.512 (where DA=DAD_{A}^{\prime} = D_{A}), we derive the expansion rate of the Universe H(z)H(z) at these redshifts. Our findings reveal that at z1.63z\sim 1.63, the H(z)H(z) is fully consistent with the Planck-2018 Λ\LambdaCDM prediction, confirming no new physics at that redshift. However, at z0.512z \sim 0.512, the derived H(z)H(z) shows a more than 5σ5\sigma discrepancy with the Planck-2018 Λ\LambdaCDM prediction, suggesting a possible breakdown of the Λ\LambdaCDM model as constrained by Planck-2018 at this lower redshift. This emerging 5σ\sim 5\sigma tension at z0.512z\sim 0.512, distinct from the existing ``Hubble Tension'', may signal the first strong evidence for new physics at low redshifts.