Информационное обеспечение процесса мониторинга экономической безопасности на федеральном уровне
Информационное обеспечение процесса мониторинга экономической безопасности на федеральном уровне
Цыпин Александр Павлович,Ковалев Алексей Геннадьевич
TLDR
The main result of the given research work is the conceptual scheme of dataware for creating historical time series of social and economic activities in Russia, which will allow to achieve the set aim and essentially simplify researches in economic statistics based on time series.
Abstract
Relevance of the research. Rapid development of information technology over the last decade has resulted in its overall expansion; this can essentially simplify solving some problems both in everyday life and in professional spheres. The scientific sphere, particularly researches in economic statistics, is no exception either. For instance, special-purpose applied software packages (Statistica, SPSS, Sata, EViews, etc.) that appeared in the Russian market in 1990s, allowed to apply multivariate statistic methods to data arrays, to create econometric models and solve classic problems with the help of artificial neural networks. At the same time one can notice some lagging in creating and filling databases containing statistic information, though there are all conditions to do this, and first of all there is necessary paper-based information. In connection with this, our research aim is to examine the dataware for creating historical time series of social and economic activities in Russia. According to this aim the following tasks are solved: first, the place and the role of IT in forming and analyzing long-term time series are distinguished; second, completeness of paper-based information sources is estimated as a condition for data-base forming; third, the conceptual scheme of dataware for creating historical time series of social and economic activities in Russia are elaborated. Methods. To carry out the research the following economic research methods were used: methods of scientific abstraction, of analysis and synthesis, and of simulation, historical, logical, tabular and graphic ones. Results. The main result of the given research work is the conceptual scheme of dataware for creating historical time series of social and economic activities in Russia. In our opinion, its implementation in practice will allow to achieve the set aim and essentially simplify researches in economic statistics based on time series. Resume. Theoretical importance of the research is in the fact that it visually illustrates the possibility of forming the system allowing accumulation and usage of large arrays of statistic information. In practice, the use of this author's approach allows state institutions, businesspersons, and researchers to get an additional instrument aimed at estimating the current state of economy and at forming the notion of its further development.
